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Our Inaugural Cycle Deconstructed: Many Great Calls and a Few Blunders
The Phillips Academy Poll—America’s first high-school-led public opinion poll—concluded its inaugural year with many great calls, as well as a few blunders. This article will deconstruct what went right and what went wrong.
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Hot off 100% Senate record, Phillips Academy finds Herschel Walker up by 1% in close Georgia race
The Phillips Academy Poll, hot off a 100% record polling the Senate, finds Herschel Walker leading Raphael Warnock by 1%. Importantly, the 1% lead is within the margin of error (3.3%) and is significantly less than the number of undecided voters (5%).
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Nailing the upset in Nevada: Phillips Academy’s perfect record polling Senate tossups
The poll successfully predicted the results of Nevada, Arizona, and New Hampshire’s senatorial races, as well as the New Hampshire governor’s race.
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New Hampshire leans purple: Hassan leads Bolduc by 4; Sununu has a 22-point lead
In the race for senator, incumbent Democrat Maggie Hassan is leading Republican Don Bolduc by 4%. In the race for governor, incumbent Republican Chris Sununu is leading Democrat Tom Sherman by 22%.
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Arizona decides: Kelly and Masters locked in tight battle, Kari Lake dominates Hobbs
Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Kelly is leading Republican challenger Blake Masters by 1%. Republican Kari Lake leads Democrat Katie Hobbs by 11% in the Arizona gubernatorial election.
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Democrats retake polling lead in Nevada: Cortez Masto up 2%, Sisolak winning by 5%
Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto is leading by 2% against Republican Adam Laxalt in the race for senator. Democrat Steve Sisolak is leading by 5% against Republican Joe Lombardo in the race for governor.
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Pennsylvania Democrats Fetterman and Shapiro hang on to slim lead; Oz down 2%
Democrat John Fetterman is leading by 2.0% against Republican Mehmet Oz in the race for senator. Democrat Josh Shapiro is narrowly leading by 3.4% against Republican Doug Mastriano in the governor race.
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Georgia on My Mind: Republicans Lead Across the Board Due to Suburban Support
The Phillips Academy Poll found Republican Herschel Walker leading incumbent Democrat Senator Raphael Warnock by 1.6% in the 2022 Georgia senate election, which is less than the poll’s margin of error.
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Florida midterms: Ron DeSantis and Val Demings lead the polls by very slim margins
In a hypothetical matchup for governor, The Phillips Academy Poll found Ron DeSantis leading Charlie Crist by 0.7%, less than the poll’s margin of error, with a significant number of voters still undecided.
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New Hampshire 2022: Sununu polling at 72.5%, Hassan leading Republican opponents
The Phillips Academy Poll found Chris Sununu leading by 48.4% in a hypothetical gubernatorial election against Tom Sherman. Chris Sununu, the incumbent Republican Governor, is running for his fourth term.
